s Iran on Verge of Land Link to Mediterranean
Iranian proxies and Assad regime forces
advanced south in the Syrian desert on Friday to reach the Syrian-Iraqi border
The Tower, 13 June 2017-- For the first
time since the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Iran is on the verge of acquiring a
direct land link to the Mediterranean Sea and southern Lebanon. Iranian proxies
and Assad regime forces advanced south in the Syrian desert on Friday to reach the
Syrian-Iraqi border, cutting off Free Syrian Army rebels who had hoped to
traverse that same territory to fight ISIS in the east.
Barring a Pentagon-backed rebel
counterattack, Iranian proxies are now on pace to complete their corridor
through a combination of advances south on the Iraqi side of the border and
advances north and east on the Syrian side. On the Iraqi side, Iran-linked
Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) groups reached the border in a lightning
offensive last month. The Institute for the Study of War records that before
the offensive, PMF groups had already attained a direct line of control from
the Iran-Iraq border to Tel Afar – their forward position on the eve of the
lightning offensive.
Now, a similar lightning
offensive has occurred on the Syrian side of the border. The Iranian pro-regime
media station Tasnim News released multiple photos today from the Syrian-Iraqi
border showing IRGC-Quds Force head Qassem Suleimani alongside members of the
Fatimiyun Brigade, which is a force of Afghani foreign fighters in Syria backed
by the IRGC. Iranian-backed militias from Iraq including the Imam Ali
Battalions, the Imam Baqir Brigade, and the Jihad Brigades had all increased
their presence in the Syrian desert in the weeks prior to last Friday’s advance.
While many miles still separate
the Iran-backed militias’ in northeastern Iraq and southwestern Syria, the
militias are highly likely to link up if only ISIS-held territory stands in
their way. Iranian and Assad regime forces were able to make rapid gains
against ISIS in the Aleppo suburbs after boxing in rebel forces in the area of
Al-Bab town. This past Friday, rebel forces in the Syrian desert might have
been boxed in in a similar fashion.
It is important to note that
pro-Assad forces launched few operations in the south Syrian desert until Free
Syrian Army rebels began making gains against ISIS in the area this March and
April. Assad forces then declared the area a priority – but they and their
Iran-backed allies attacked the FSA rebels, not ISIS. Furthermore, pro-Assad
attacks against rebel forces only began in earnest as the Russian
“de-escalation zones” initiative took effect. Iranian Quds Force head Suleimani
reportedly urged his proxies to build a ground corridor “before the Americans
get there” around this time.
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